You Want a Great Deal, But Do You Really Want a Foreclosure?

Foreclosures represent a mammoth portion of today’s housing inventory. In RealtyTrac’s recently released 2008 Foreclosure Market Report, they showed a total of 3,157,806 foreclosure filings. The number of default notices, auction sale notices and bank repossessions reached 2,330,483 properties.

Up until now most people were of the opinion they could save huge sums of money buying a foreclosure property. However, more people are shying away from that process, and if they are willing to engage at all, they are demanding steep discounts averaging 25% from the listing price, and many are expecting to pay 50% less than for a non-foreclosed home. According to a recent Moody's Economy.com report, since the peak of the market several years ago home prices fell in 70% of all metro areas. Although the decline in most metro areas was modest, prices did decline by 5% in 116 metro areas and more than 20% in about 50 metro areas. In the most depressed markets, a buyer insisting upon a 25% discount doesn’t seem like that much for a distressed property. But this all depends upon how realistic the listing price is.

Banks are still requiring BPO’s as part of their preparation for marketing foreclosures, but the problem with that approach is they are looking back at the market for values, and in declining markets they need to look forward when pricing properties. The result in most cases is banks overestimate the listing price. All they know is what they are owed and that is all they care about. So what happens is properties sit on the market for long periods of time suffering from accelerated deterioration or vandalism. Someone will have to pay for the repairs and the bank does not want to assume any responsibility.

In December, Trulia and RealtyTrac published a survey indicating that in the seven months prior to the study the number of people interested in foreclosures dropped by seven percent to 47%. The first study reported in April 2008 by these market tracking companies recorded 69% of the buyers polled had a negative opinion of foreclosures. Since then the number has risen to 80%. On Martha’s Vineyard there are very few foreclosures and I continue to maintain that buyers can do better negotiating on a non-foreclosure property.