Thursday, November 26, 2009

Where To Now Martha's Vineyard?

Are you upside down? Did you know one in four home owners in America with a mortgage are under water? By that I mean their home is worth less than what they owe. The beginning of 2010 will see more Option ARM’s coming to term. In many cases where home prices have fallen drastically borrowers are so deeply under water that they can't refinance their mortgage in order to take advantage of take advantage of the current lower rates. "We're declining hundreds of loans each month," said Steve Walsh, a mortgage broker in Scottsdale, Ariz. "The only way we will make headway is if we allow for a streamlined refinance where the appraisal is irrelevant."

5.3 million homeowners have mortgages that are at least 120% of their homes’ value. According to Mark Fleming, chief economist of First American Core Logic, homeowners whose loan to value ratio is greater than 120% are more likely to default and 520,000 of these borrowers have received default notices. Even if they want to sell (Short Sale), they can’t afford to --- they’re stuck. Sanjiv Das, head of Citigroup's mortgage unit said "Beyond 120%, the most effective modification is a complete loan restructuring, including a principal reduction. Mr. Das goes on to say “Borrowers who are less than 20% under water are likely to maintain their mortgage if their loan is modified and the payments reduced”.

As financial institutions continue to struggle with how they are going to solve the mess they have created, about 588,000 borrowers defaulted on mortgages last year even though they had employment and could afford to pay. That is more than double the number in 2007, according to a study by Experian and consulting firm Oliver Wyman. "The American consumer has had a long-held taboo against walking away from the home, and this crisis seems to be eroding that," the study said. Previously the advice to borrowers has been, only by defaulting on their loans will lenders pay attention and consider adjusting rates and principals in line with today’s market. However, lenders have been reluctant to reduce mortgage principal over worries about "moral contagion, with people not paying their mortgage or re-defaulting because they believed the bank would reduce their principal," Mr. Das said.

I expect that we will see more loan defaults on Martha’s Vineyard and more foreclosure auctions at the beginning of 2010 despite the fact that we have leveled out in our market. In the early 90’s we called this moment in the market a “trough”. I also think the Martha’s Vineyard recovery will slow down because; with the optimistic forecast more less-motivated homeowners have placed their properties back on the market at overly optimistic prices. I believe the result will be a stall in the market because everyone is confused. However, I still maintain that this is a great time to buy. Look at what you have going for you. Interest rates hit an all time record low this week averaging 4.78% on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage --- this has never happened before in all the time Freddie Mac has been keeping records. For comparison sake, the interest rate last year was 5.97%. "Interest rates for 30-year fixed-rate loans are currently 0.8 percentage points below this year's peak set in mid-June, which shaves roughly $100 off the monthly payments on a $200,000 mortgage," said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac chief economist. Interest rates will only go in one direction from here, and don’t forget the extended and broadened home buyer tax credit; it no longer applies only to first time home buyers.

I want to urge you, if you see something you like take a run at it. You will never know what you can negotiate until you engage, but be patient, realistic and resolute in your objective. $20,000 one way or the other today is not going to make a difference ten years from now.

Saturday, November 07, 2009

Great News for Martha's Vineyard Home Buyers!

First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

President Obama signed the Homebuyer Tax Credit into law after overwhelming votes for it in Congress. The credit takes effect as of November 6, 2009. To be eligible, a purchase contract must be signed by April 30, 2010, and close on or before June 30, 2010. This is a very narrow window of opportunity so pay attention and don't miss out.

Not only is the existing $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers extended but a new "Homebuyer Tax Credit" of up to $6,500 for some existing homeowners has been added. The reduced credit would be available to all homebuyers who have been in their current residence for a consecutive five-year period in the past eight years.

The qualifying income limits are being raised to $125,000 for single taxpayers and $250,000 for joint taxpayers, from the current $75,000 and $150,000.

Martha’s Vineyard Land Bank “M” Exemption

In an effort to stimulate home sales to first-time home buyers, the Martha’s Vineyard Land Bank has increased the credit amount of the “M” Exemption. The “M” Exemption is a credit given only to eligible first-time home buyers toward the Land Bank Fee of 2% of the purchase price of real estate on Martha’s Vineyard.

Prior to September 1, 2004, the “M” exemption was $100,000 and in order to qualify all parties on the deed may not have ever owned real property at any time, not just on Martha’s Vineyard but anywhere. Subsequently, it was increased to $300,000 and the exemption was available to first-time purchasers of real estate who will domicile on the property within two years and hold the property for at least five years from the date of transfer. In the case of spouses, either spouse can have owned or possessed an interest in real property prior to the time of purchase, but not both spouses. As of October 27, 2009, per a recent amendment to the land bank law, first time purchasers may now claim a $400,000 "M" exemption. All of the other requirements of the "M" exemption are unchanged.

Mortgage Interest Rates Remain Below 5%

Although inflation is an assumed and anticipated part of our future economic recovery, the Fed anticipating continued slow growth during the next few months voted the status quo for interest rates with their announcement this week that "economic conditions are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period." Rates will stay where they are for now because the Federal Reserve group believes that even with economic growth ahead, it will be at a manageable pace.

On Martha’s Vineyard, for loans up to $417,000 you can get a 15-year fixed rate mortgage for 4.5%, with no points and a 30-year fixed with one point for 5.1%. 30-year loans are actually down by an eighth of a point at maturity.